Monday, 22 September 2014

COT Report Updates Taking a Break

Hi folks,

It's with sadness that I've decided to take a break from my regular weekly Commitments of Traders updates.

I've been planning to review and update my trading setups, but I just haven't managed to find the time.

It's important to do a review like that every once in a while to take into account new data. I also wanted to check how my existing setups have performed and look at ways to improve their performance.

Here are some other projects I'm working on right now: Check out my award-winning book Police Wife: The Secret Epidemic of Police Domestic Violence, which was finalist in the American Book Fest 2017 Best Book Awards. I also write about the widespread problem of police officer-involved domestic violence on my Police Wife blog and write about investigative journalism at my Investigate This! blog.

One observation I've made about the COT data is that it looks like there's a correlation between a setup's results and whether its component signals follow the trader group (as opposed to fading).

In other words, setups may work better if their component signals both follow the trader group.

I need to test that theory in depth and don't want to keep trading signals that aren't optimized as I'd like them to be.

When I've found time for this updating work, I'll check my results and consider restarting my weekly updates.

In the meanwhile, I owe an immense debt of thanks to all the readers worldwide (over 540,000 page views since I started seven years ago).

I'm especially grateful to those who contributed feedback -- and in some cases, extraordinary amounts of collaboration -- to improve our understanding of the fascinating COT data and how it can be traded.

I didn't expect this aspect of blogging when I started COTs Timer seven years ago -- the generosity and sharing of collective wisdom. I learned a great deal, and this has been a remarkable experience. I hope to see you back here one day soon.

I've updated my latest signals table one last time with last week's COT data -- though I had a technical glitch with the file for my three metals (gold, cooper and silver), so I haven't updated that data.

Thank you again to all, and good luck in your trading and other endeavours.

P.S. I just noticed that COTs Timer was listed on TraderHQ's 50 Blogs Every Serious Trader Should Read list. Thanks!

Monday, 15 September 2014

Natural Gas Bearish

One new signal takes effect on this week's open of trading based on the latest Commitments of Traders data: bearish for natural gas.

All other signals remain the same in my trading system based on the free weekly COT data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

See my latest signals table for details on how traders are positioned in the 10 markets I follow with these nifty reports.

Good luck this week.

Sunday, 7 September 2014

Bullion Bullish, Banks to Cash: COT Data

Just two new signals taking effect on this week's open of trading based on the latest Commitments of Traders data:

- cash for the BKX U.S. Bank Index
- bullish for gold

See my latest signals table for more details on how traders are positioning trillions of dollars in 200-plus markets according to the free weekly COT reports issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Good luck this week.

Monday, 1 September 2014

Nasdaq-100 Bearish, Cash for Gold, Crude Oil

Three signals take effect on this morning's open of trading based on the latest Commitments of Traders data:

- bearish for the Nasdaq-100
- cash for gold and crude oil

All other signals remain the same as last week. See my latest signals table for the details.

Good luck this week.