Friday 29 March 2013

Cash for Gold and Crude Oil

A couple of signals take effect on next week's open of trading in my system based on the weekly Commitments of Traders data:

- cash for my gold and crude oil signals

Meanwhile, the latest COT report issued this afternoon shows the "smart money" commercial hedgers getting more confident in their bullish net futures and options positioning in the S&P 500. That signal is now bullish.

See my latest signals table for more details on what the big money is doing in these and the other markets I trade using this free data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Happy Easter - and good luck next week (especially on April Fool's Day!)

Monday 25 March 2013

Natural Gas a Go, Banks Go Slow, Outta the Bond

Three signals take effect this week based on the latest Commitments of Traders data:

- bullish for natural gas
- bearish for the BKX U.S. Bank Index
- cash for the 30-year Treasury bond

See my latest signals table for more details on trader positioning in these and the other seven markets I trade using the free weekly COT reports issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commish. Good luck this week.

Sunday 17 March 2013

S&P 500 Bullish

Two signals take effect on the coming week's open of trading based on the latest Commitments of Traders data:

- bullish for the S&P 500 (this, after commercial hedgers shifted heavily toward more bullish positioning in their futures and options holdings)
- cash for my BKX Bank Index setup (which had been bullish)

Also, in a week's time, my natural gas signal goes from cash to bullish (i.e. on the open March 25).

Check my just-updated latest signals table for all the fascinating details of the COT data, as issued weekly by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Good luck this week - and Happy St. Paddy's Day!

Monday 11 March 2013

Bearish Turn for Nasdaq-100, Crude Oil

Back home after a nice trip to Manuel Antonio, Costa Rica. Lovely place, but it's nice to be back in peaceful Montezuma!

Sorry again for the delayed Commitments of Traders update this time around. I've just updated my latest signals table based on Friday's COT report. A few big moves in the data last week in some of the markets I'm trading, as you can see on that table.

Two signals take effect this week: bearish for the Nasdaq-100 and crude oil. Meanwhile, commercial hedgers in S&P 500 futures and options remain highly bullish, as first reported in last week's post. That signal goes to bullish on next week's open of trading.

Good luck this week, and see you back here after Friday's COT data comes out.

Friday 8 March 2013

Delay for Next COT Update

My next Commitments of Traders report will be delayed until late on Monday or early Tuesday because I'll be on the road. Apologies!

I'm going to take the chance of holding my existing positions until I've had the chance to update my spreadsheets.

Have a great weekend.

Saturday 2 March 2013

Huge Bullish Swing in S&P 500 Positioning; Silver Bullish Too

Big sudden shift this past week in the futures and options positioning of the "smart money" commercial hedgers in the S&P 500.

These folks, highly bearish for the first part of this year, have just plowed a bunch of their money into much more bullish positioning, according to Friday's Commitments of Traders report.

The shift is so extreme it has pushed my S&P 500 signal into the bullish column after two months of being short. The new signal takes effect with the two-week trade delay I use for this signal - i.e. the open of the week of March 18.

See my latest signals table for more details on this and the other markets I'm trading using the weekly COT data.

Two signals take effect this coming week: cash for my Nasdaq-100 signal and bullish for silver. (Gold had already been bullish since early January, but now silver joins the fun!)

Have a good rest of your weekend, and good luck next week.