Cash for Gold and Crude Oil

A couple of signals take effect on next week's open of trading in my system based on the weekly Commitments of Traders data:

- cash for my gold and crude oil signals

Meanwhile, the latest COT report issued this afternoon shows the "smart money" commercial hedgers getting more confident in their bullish net futures and options positioning in the S&P 500. That signal is now bullish.

See my latest signals table for more details on what the big money is doing in these and the other markets I trade using this free data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Happy Easter - and good luck next week (especially on April Fool's Day!)

Natural Gas a Go, Banks Go Slow, Outta the Bond

Three signals take effect this week based on the latest Commitments of Traders data:

- bullish for natural gas
- bearish for the BKX U.S. Bank Index
- cash for the 30-year Treasury bond

See my latest signals table for more details on trader positioning in these and the other seven markets I trade using the free weekly COT reports issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commish. Good luck this week.

S&P 500 Bullish

Two signals take effect on the coming week's open of trading based on the latest Commitments of Traders data:

- bullish for the S&P 500 (this, after commercial hedgers shifted heavily toward more bullish positioning in their futures and options holdings)
- cash for my BKX Bank Index setup (which had been bullish)

Also, in a week's time, my natural gas signal goes from cash to bullish (i.e. on the open March 25).

Check my just-updated latest signals table for all the fascinating details of the COT data, as issued weekly by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Good luck this week - and Happy St. Paddy's Day!

Bearish Turn for Nasdaq-100, Crude Oil

Back home after a nice trip to Manuel Antonio, Costa Rica. Lovely place, but it's nice to be back in peaceful Montezuma!

Sorry again for the delayed Commitments of Traders update this time around. I've just updated my latest signals table based on Friday's COT report. A few big moves in the data last week in some of the markets I'm trading, as you can see on that table.

Two signals take effect this week: bearish for the Nasdaq-100 and crude oil. Meanwhile, commercial hedgers in S&P 500 futures and options remain highly bullish, as first reported in last week's post. That signal goes to bullish on next week's open of trading.

Good luck this week, and see you back here after Friday's COT data comes out.

Delay for Next COT Update

My next Commitments of Traders report will be delayed until late on Monday or early Tuesday because I'll be on the road. Apologies!

I'm going to take the chance of holding my existing positions until I've had the chance to update my spreadsheets.

Have a great weekend.

Huge Bullish Swing in S&P 500 Positioning; Silver Bullish Too

Big sudden shift this past week in the futures and options positioning of the "smart money" commercial hedgers in the S&P 500.

These folks, highly bearish for the first part of this year, have just plowed a bunch of their money into much more bullish positioning, according to Friday's Commitments of Traders report.

The shift is so extreme it has pushed my S&P 500 signal into the bullish column after two months of being short. The new signal takes effect with the two-week trade delay I use for this signal - i.e. the open of the week of March 18.

See my latest signals table for more details on this and the other markets I'm trading using the weekly COT data.

Two signals take effect this coming week: cash for my Nasdaq-100 signal and bullish for silver. (Gold had already been bullish since early January, but now silver joins the fun!)

Have a good rest of your weekend, and good luck next week.

Bearish Natural Gas Signal Over Based on CFTC's Latest COT Data

New signals taking effect this coming week based on the latest Commitments of Traders data:

- cash for natural gas and copper
- bearish for the 30-year Treasury bond

See my latest signals table for more details on trader positioning in these and the other eight markets I'm trading based on the free weekly COT reports, issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Good luck this week.

Banks Bullish, Bond to Cash

Two signals take effect on this week's open of trading based on the latest Commitments of Traders data: bullish for the BKX U.S. Bank Index and cash for the 30-year Treasury bond (which had been bullish previously).

See my latest signals table for more details on trader positioning in these and the other markets I trade using the free weekly COT reports issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Hope Canadian and U.S. readers are having a good holiday today, and good luck to all this week.

Bearish Turn for Copper in Trader Data

Had a great trip to beautiful San Juan del Sur, Nicaragua, and I'm now back for my overdue Commitments of Traders update. I've just updated my latest signals table with the data as of Friday's COT report.

Only one signal takes effect this week: bearish for copper. Other signals remain the same as last week.

See my signals table for more details on the trader positioning in each of the markets I'm trading using the COT data from the CFTC. Sorry again for the delayed post.

Good luck this week.

Delay for Next Update

I'll be on the road for the next few days and will need to delay my next post and update of my latest signals table. This means the information won't be posted before next week's open of trading.

I'm going to take a chance and keep my current positions until I can do my next update.

Watch for the updated information sometime Tuesday. Sorry about the delay.

Smooth Sailing in COT Data

After a flurry of trader positioning changes a few weeks ago, now there is silence. No signals take effect next week based on the latest trader data as revealed in the weekly Commitments of Traders report from the CFTC.

My existing signals all remain in effect. You know what those are, don't you! Of course you do because you devotedly check my latest signals table to note with great care the latest developments in this fascinating and free data on how the big boys are positioned in 150-odd markets.

Wishing you a good weekend from sunny and beautiful Montezuma, Costa Rica. Now off to make some mojitos. Pura vida!

Going Short Natural Gas Thanks to Trader Data; Cash for Banks and Copper

Three signals take effect on the coming week's open of trading based on the latest data from the weekly Commitments of Traders reports:

- bearish for natural gas
- cash for the BKX U.S. Bank Index and copper

See my latest signals table for details on how traders are positioned in these and the other markets I trade using the free COT data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Good luck this week!

Banks Go Bullish; Gas, Crude in Cash

Three signals take effect on the coming week's trading based on the latest Commitments of Traders data:

- cash for natural gas (then bearish in a week's time)

- bullish for the BKX U.S. Bank Index
- cash for crude oil

Other signals remain the same. See my latest signals table for all the details on the latest trader positioning as revealed by the free weekly COT reports from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Good luck next week - and happy birthday to me!

Bearish Lean Deepens in Trader Data; Short Copper, S&P 500, NDX and Crude

Trader positioning continues leaning in a bearish direction, with one more market flipping into the bearish column: copper.

That makes four of my signals bearish. The others are S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 and crude oil. As well, the 30-year Treasury is bullish - a generally bearish development for equities.

The Nikkei is the only equity market remaining bullish in my trading system based on the weekly Commitments of Traders data.

Among commodities, gold and natural gas are bullish (but gas goes to cash in a week's time). Silver is in cash, as is the BKX U.S. Bank Index.

See my latest signals table for more details on trader positioning in the markets I'm trading using the free COT data issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Good luck next week, and Happy New Year to Ukrainian readers! (Veseloho Novoho Roku!)

Busy Week in COT Land: Six New Signals This Week

Another very active week this week among traders as reported in the weekly Commitments of Traders reports. My trading strategy based on the COT data gives six signals taking effect on this coming week's open of trading.

See my latest signals table for the new signals, plus more detailed info on how trader positioning has evolved over the past couple of weeks.

New signals: bearish for S&P 500 and crude oil; bullish for natural gas, the 30-year Treasury bond and gold; and cash for the BKX U.S. Bank Index.

Merry Christmas to Ukrainian readers (Khrystos Narodivsya!), and best wishes in 2013!