Ever wonder what the smart money is doing in the markets? You don’t need to pay big bucks to find out. Just read the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s free weekly Commitments of Traders report. The CFTC’s COT data is a Holy Grail of market info, listing trillions of dollars in positions in 200+ markets – gold, crude oil, natural gas, silver, forex, equity indexes and lots more. My trading system, which I posted about here for seven years, gave weekly trading signals based on the COT data.
Tuesday, 27 May 2008
New: See Trade Returns on My Updated Portfolio Page
I've just updated my Portfolio page with returns from each ongoing and recently closed trade. I think they'll be quite interesting to track. I've also updated that page with my trades as of this week's open of trading - selling my long base metals position and U.S. banks short position, and going long U.S. banks and the Russell 2000. I talked about the signals behind those trades in this post Friday. Incidentally, I think that portfolio table also shows something important about trading: even when some trades have extreme profits, there are always others that lose some money. Drawdowns are something that paralyze a lot of traders and investors, leaving them in a muddle about how to react. They highlight what I think is one of the most vital aspects of trading: risk management through pre-defined stops and proper position sizing to fit your own personality and account size. With those elements in place, I think you can trade much more confidently and, with luck, more profitably. See more on my own risk-control systems here (scroll down to "Portfolio Allocation" and "Stop"). Good luck this week.
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