Monday, 28 April 2008

Filled!

Just updated my portfolio page with trades from this morning. I went long a leveraged base-metal miners ETF for my copper trading setup, which has flipped to bullish. I also went to cash with my NASDAQ 100 position based on my setup for that market flipping to neutral.

16 comments:

Anonymous said...

Which leveraged copper based miner ETF do you use?

Thanks!

Alex Roslin said...

I bought HMU trading in Toronto.

Regards,
Alex

Anonymous said...

I tried to post a few days ago but I think my question may have been too dumb to post. Trying again, I wonder if anyone minds that silver is tanking yet this system is bullish on it. I sold at the signal but bought back in and am losing money hand over fist. Is this just the breaks? Or is the system just off on this one?

Alex Roslin said...

Hi Anonymous,

I don't think there are dumb questions! Your message got put up as a comment to my post on Friday, and I added a comment addressing it.

Regards,
Alex

willem said...

i was thinking about a question but someone before me have added that.
it was my doubt(but i think it is not) about silver.the buy signal was 4 weeks ago,but i read the answer from alex on the comments.

Anonymous said...

FYI- I just noticed your portfolio page is still showing you long nasdaq-100. I enjoy your COT timer blog very much.

Alex Roslin said...

Right you are! Thanks for bringing that to my attention. Just corrected it.

Regards,
Alex

tanglewood said...

If your COT timer causes you to switch to neutral (cash) on the NASDAQ 100, wouldn't it also apply to the Russell 2000 and the SPX?

Bill

willem said...

i sure believe i can learn a lot from your site alex.i think in a cople of days/weeks what you said is yet unfolding.all things are not so well and gold and silver has to go up.
it might be unbelieveble to see what is going to happens


grtz,

willem

Alex Roslin said...

Hi Bill,

No, that NDX setup applies only to that index. It's not backtested for any other index. Each one has a different personality and responds to the data differently.

Regards,
Alex

Bora Kizilirmak said...

Dear Alex,

Do you have any suggestion how I can use your table for TSX Financial Index and TSX Energy Index?

Thank you

Bora Kizilirmak

Alex Roslin said...

Hi Bora,

Some markets can be fairly correlated with the primary market in the COTs data; others not. I've found I needed to study the past correlation carefully to make sure I wasn't trading the signal with an instrument that was inappropriate. For example, TSX Energy often doesn't move quite the same as crude oil. My own preferred method is to use an instrument as close as possible to the primary data, which is why I like the new HBP funds in Toronto for many of the commodities and the ProShares funds for the U.S. banks setup.

Regards,
Alex

Peter J Barban said...

Have you seen the website, Collective2 at http://www.collective2.com/? This site allows people to sell, or offer for free, their trading systems. C2 tracks the results and over time can reveal the real value of a system.

You could put your timing system on there, and offer it for free, then at some later time you could begin charging for subscriptions. Unfortunately there is a listing fee to get your system on their site.

Peter J Barban

Alex Roslin said...

Hi Peter,

Thank you for the suggestion. I've come across a few websites that offer a tracking service and have wanted to sign myself up, but I was holding off until I've finished my refinements of this system and developed the best possible setups. Those should be good for a trading window of 18 to 36 months before needing a round of updates with new market data.

I see the recent revised setups I've been trading in the past few months as interim setups that will likely change once again in many of the markets based on this refinement process.

Best regards,
Alex

Anonymous said...

Is there a list of the proper ETF(or appropiate)
purchase for the various
signals generated by your method ?
Thank you.

Alex Roslin said...

Hi - some details are on my "How It Works" page. A good ETFs list is available at Don Vialoux's DVTechTalk.com website, under "special reports."

Regards,
Alex