COTs Timer: Gold to Cash, Banks to Bullish

Tuesday, 1 March 2011

Gold to Cash, Banks to Bullish

A couple of new signals on my latest signals table: gold goes from bullish to cash this week, BKX Bank Index goes from cash to bullish. Also, on Monday, March 7, natural gas goes from bearish to cash. Sorry for the tardy post about last week's Commitments of Traders numbers. I updated the signals table on the weekend, but didn't have a chance to post on it until now. Good luck this week!

2 comments:

In Debt We Trust said...: Hi, here is something interesting. If you look at the SPY on a monthly chart it tends to go up in March an average of 1-1.5%. I'm not sure why it does that but would be interested in your thoughts. Pull up a chart going back at least 10 years and you will see what I mean.; 1 March 2011 at 17:16
Alex Roslin said...: Hi In Debt...,

Thanks for your comment. The S&P 500, like most major stock indexes, has a seasonally favourable period from the fall to the spring. You can find charts showing this by searching for "seasonality" and "S&P 500," for example. Crude oil, by the way, has strong seasonality from mid-winter to mid-spring.

Important caveat: Doesn't mean these patterns work every year though - each year is different!

Regards,
Alex; 6 March 2011 at 11:02

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I am an active trader and award-winning investigative journalist based in Lac Brome in Quebec's Eastern Townships, just outside Montreal. I have written about investing and business for The Montreal Gazette, Investor's Digest of Canada, Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, Futures & Options Trader, The Financial Post and others. I am not a certified financial advisor and am still refining my COTs Timer system. Please see more disclaimer information below. See my complete profile at the "Intro to COT" link above.

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I created this blog to record my personal, subjective observations about the markets, solely for my entertainment and that of interested readers and to foster research. Nothing on this blog should be construed as financial advice or an offer or recommendation to purchase or sell any security. I encourage anyone interested in the markets to do your own homework and/or consult a professional advisor. I am not a certified financial advisor and am still refining my trading system. I reserve the right to modify or stop publishing aspects of my system at any time or to delay updating my tables for whatever reason, or I may not do so in a timely manner. My system has resulted in very large drawdowns in some trades. Past backtested and real-time results are no guarantee of future performance. I will not be liable for any losses or damages of any kind that result from the content of this site. Although I consider the data, calculations and information on this blog to be reliable, I can't make any guarantees and won't be held liable or responsible for anything erroneous on this website. You are solely responsible for implementing safeguards of your data and system when you use this site and its content and links. It is up to the user of this site and content to protect yourself from worms, trojan horses, viruses and the like. I may hold positions in some of the securities mentioned in this blog.